50 marginal constituencies
1 general election
Stroud

For the final results in each of 50for15's constituencies, see this post.

What? Conservative-Labour marginal that has gone with the government since 1979.

Where? Gloucestershire, half an hour’s drive south of Gloucester.

Why? If replicated nationally, the swing from Conservative to Labour for Labour to win Stroud would mean that Labour would win a plurality of seats in the House of Commons, but not a majority. The Labour candidate David Drew served as the MP from 1997-2010 and the two main candidates faced each other in 2010, with current MP Neil Carmichael winning 1,299 votes more.

Previous election results

Data via the Guardian.

Conservative majority in 2010: 1, 299

The MP in the last Parliament – Neil Carmichael

Neil Carmichael (centre), MP for Stroud

Neil Carmichael (centre), MP for Stroud

First elected MP for Stroud in 2010, having contested the seat in 2001 and 2005, Neil Carmichael (Con) has worked on the Education Select Committee and the Environmental Audit Committee. His hobbies include refurbishing his Massey-Ferguson 135 tractor. Full biography on Carmichael’s website.

@neil_mp

The challengers

David Drew, former Stroud MP and current Labour challenger

David Drew, former Stroud MP and current Labour challenger

Former MP David Drew (Lab) returns to contest his old seat. Born and brought up in Gloucestershire, Drew is a member of the trade unions Unison and UCU. He is writing a part-time PhD investigating rural policy and politics. Full biography on Drew’s website

@DavidEDrew

The Liberal SDP Alliance candidate for Stroud in 1987, Adrian Walker-Smith is contesting the seat again, this time for the Liberal Democrats. He has lived in Stroud permanently since 1998. More details on the Stroud Liberal Democrats’ website.

Cllr Sarah Lunnon, Green candidate for Stroud

Cllr Sarah Lunnon, Green candidate for Stroud

County Councillor for Stroud Central, Sarah Lunnon (Green) has led campaigns against fracking and has pressed for more investment in anti-flooding measures. At the meeting when she was selected, she reassured her audience, “I’ve also read up very carefully on house building costs.” More details on the Stroud Green Party’s website.

@slunnon1

Caroline Stephens, UKIP's candidate for Stroud

Caroline Stephens, UKIP’s candidate for Stroud

Caroline Stephens (UKIP) has worked in a bank, for various charities, and as a teacher in schools. She joined UKIP just a year ago. More details in the Stroud News and Journal.

@CasAnnStephens

Rich Wilson is the People Power MP Candidate

Rich Wilson is the People Power MP Candidate

Rich Wilson is the People Power MP candidate for Stroud. For the last 12 years he has been a community organiser and democracy campaigner. He is currently the director of the Osca, Social Change Agency. More details on My Stroud MP website

@richwi1son

Our articles
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It’s a slim Conservative majority overall, but who won and who lost in 50for15’s seats?

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Last Thursday Adam and I gathered together a small group of voters, of various political persuasions and generations, to watch the seven-way leaders’ debate in Stroud, a Labour-Conservative marginal in Gloucestershire. The debate hardly changed anyone’s views radically, but people found the format engaging and it sparked broader discussions about politics, both before and after...
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The Final 50

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Choosing 50 constituencies from the 650 available is no easy task, even if the number of safe seats considerably whittles down the number of contestable constituencies. Here is a list of the final 50 we have chosen to study and visit over the upcoming 5 months, complete with party colour coding. Please do get in...