50 marginal constituencies
1 general election
Southampton Itchen

For the final results in each of 50for15's constituencies, see this post.

What? Labour-Conservative marginal which the Tories need to win to gain a majority.

Where? Eastern part of the coastal city of Southampton in Hampshire.

Why? Royston Smith, the Conservative candidate in 2010 received 9% more of the vote than the Conservative candidate in 2005 but was still short by 192 votes to current Labour MP, John Denham. Mr Smith will stand again, but this time against Rowenna Davis for Labour.

Previous election results

Data via the Guardian.

Labour majority in 2010: 192

The MP in the last Parliament – John Denham

John Denham, MP for Southampton Itchen

John Denham, MP for Southampton Itchen

Former president of the Southampton University student union, John Denham (Lab) was first elected MP for Southampton Itchen in 1992, having contested the seat in 1983 and 1987. Chair of the Home Affairs Select Committee under Tony Blair and Secretary of State for Innovation, Universities and Skills under Gordon Brown Denham, Denham used to be Shadow Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills. He is standing down at this election. Full biography on Denham’s website.

@johndenhammp

The challengers

Rowenna Davis, Labour's new candidate for Southampton Itchen

Rowenna Davis, Labour’s new candidate for Southampton Itchen

Formerly a journalist, Rowenna Davis (Lab and Co-op) is taking the place of John Denham as Labour candidate for Southampton Itchen. She grew up in inner-city London. Full biography on Davis’ website.

@rowennadavis

Royston Smith, Conservative PPC for Southampton Itchen

Royston Smith, Conservative PPC for Southampton Itchen

Leader of the Conservative group on Southampton City Council, Royston Smith (Con) used to work as an  aircraft engineer with the RAF. Born in Southampton, he now runs a business that specialises in relationship management and political communications. More details on Smith’s website.

@royston_smith

Lib Dem candidate for Southampton Itchen Eleanor Bell

Lib Dem candidate for Southampton Itchen Eleanor Bell

Eleanor Bell (Lib Dem) has worked for the NHS and Southampton University. She is a member of Hampshire and Isle of Wight Wildlife Trust, and a Trustee of Hampshire Buildings Preservation Trust. Further details on Bell’s website.

@EleanorBell2015

Kim Rose, UKIP PPC for Southampton Itchen

Kim Rose, UKIP PPC for Southampton Itchen

Kim Rose (UKIP) also contested the seat of Southampton Itchen in 2001 and 2005, when he won 829 and 1, 623  votes respectively. He was born in Southampton. More details on Rose’s Facebook feed.

Green candidate John Spottiswoode

Green candidate John Spottiswoode

John Spottiswoode (Green) is the director of a local business that delivers energy efficiency solutions to small companies. He led the successful campaign to stop water fluoridation in Southampton, setting up Hampshire Against Fluoridation in 2008, of which he remains the Chairman. Further details on the Southampton Green Party’s website.

Sue Atkins is the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition candidate for Southampton Itchen. Further details on Atkins’ Facebook page.

Our articles
It's a slim Conservative majority overall, but who won and who lost in 50for15's seats?

It’s a slim Conservative majority overall, but who won and who lost in 50for15’s seats?

Instead of a hung Parliament, which most people had predicted, the Conservatives ended up winning a slim majority. With 331 seats under their belt, they have a majority of five, if you take the view that 326 seats constitutes a majority (650 divided by 2, plus 1), or a majority of ten when you take into...
Some polling day thoughts from 50for15

Some polling day thoughts from 50for15

Today’s the big day – you’ve still got a few hours left to vote (till 10pm), so make sure you do. Here’s a way of finding contact details for your local authority, who will know where your polling station is, in case you don’t. BBC Free Speech did a quick interview with us to get our...
Can Labour cling on to Southampton Itchen? Perhaps Arnie Graf will save them

Can Labour cling on to Southampton Itchen? Perhaps Arnie Graf will save them

And so to Southampton, a city divided into two constituencies, which, for some strange reason, were given more imaginative names than “Southampton West” and “Southampton East.” Southampton Test and Southampton Itchen are named after the principal rivers that flow through the city and down into the docks. Together they make up the only spots of...
Our 50 constituencies – all on one map

Our 50 constituencies – all on one map

Arfon Plaid Cymru majority: 1,455 votes Labour target Click to read more Argyll and Bute Lib Dem majority: 3,431 votes Conservative target Labour target SNP target Click to read more Ashfield Labour majority: 192 votes Lib Dem target Click to read more Birmingham Edgbaston Labour majority: 1, 274 votes Conservative target Click to read more...
What was the Minister for Portsmouth doing in Southampton?

What was the Minister for Portsmouth doing in Southampton?

How did the Minister for Portsmouth and Conservative MP for West Suffolk end up in Southampton? And what’s he doing on a blog about marginal constituencies, when he won his seat with a majority of 13,050 votes in 2010? Fortunately for Matthew Hancock’s job prospects, West Suffolk is not undergoing the sort of anti-governmental surge...
The Final 50

The Final 50

Choosing 50 constituencies from the 650 available is no easy task, even if the number of safe seats considerably whittles down the number of contestable constituencies. Here is a list of the final 50 we have chosen to study and visit over the upcoming 5 months, complete with party colour coding. Please do get in...