For the final results in each of 50for15's constituencies, see this post.
What? Conservative-Labour marginal.
Where? Not far south of Bristol. Major towns include Chew Magna, Keynsham, and Midsomer Norton
Why? Replicated nationally, the swing from Conservative to Labour needed for Labour to win in Somerset North East would lead Labour to a majority of 1. The situation is complicated by the SNP looking likely to take some Labour seats in Scotland, but if Labour don’t win in Somerset North East, there’s little chance they will have enough MPs to a form a one-party majority.
The 2010 result
This seat was created in 2010. Data via the Guardian.
Conservative majority: 4, 914
The MP in the last Parliament – Jacob Rees-Mogg
Jacob Rees-Mogg, Conservative MP for Somerset North East
Born and bred in Somerset, Jacob Rees-Mogg (Con) was first elected an MP in 2010. In Parliament, he serves on the Procedure Committee and the European Scrutiny Committee. He was educated at Eton and Oxford. Full biography on Rees-Mogg’s website.
Todd Foreman, Labour’s PPC for Somerset North East
Todd Foreman (Lab) first arrived in the UK as a student, and became a British citizen in 2006. A former lawyer, trade unionist, Foreman is a supporter of the living wage. He lives in the village of Pensford with his husband Mark Sautter. Full biography on Foreman’s website.
Wera Hobhouse, Lib Dem PPC for Somerset North East
Wera Hobhouse (Lib Dem) has been a councillor since 2004. She works as a secondary school teacher of modern languages, and her political interests include education and the environment. Full biography on Hobhouse’s website.
Ernie Blaber, UKIP’s candidate for Somerset North East
A resident of Midsomer Norton, Ernie Blaber (UKIP) served in the Royal Marines for twenty two years and spent ten years being self-employed. He has lived in the Bath and North East Somerset area since 1974. More details on the Somerset North East UKIP website.
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