50 marginal constituencies
1 general election
Somerset North East

For the final results in each of 50for15's constituencies, see this post.

What? Conservative-Labour marginal.

Where? Not far south of Bristol. Major towns include Chew Magna, Keynsham, and Midsomer Norton

Why? Replicated nationally, the swing from Conservative to Labour needed for Labour to win in Somerset North East would lead Labour to a majority of 1. The situation is complicated by the SNP looking likely to take some Labour seats in Scotland, but if Labour don’t win in Somerset North East, there’s little chance they will have enough MPs to a form a one-party majority.

The 2010 result

Candidate Party Votes Share
Jacob Rees-Mogg Conservative 21, 130 41.3%
Dan Norris Labour 16, 216 31.7%
Gail Coleshill Liberal Democrat 11, 433 22.3%
Peter Sandell UKIP 1, 754 3.4%
Michael Jay Green 670 1.3%

This seat was created in 2010. Data via the Guardian.

Conservative majority: 4, 914

The MP in the last Parliament – Jacob Rees-Mogg

Jacob Rees-Mogg, Conservative MP for Somerset North East

Jacob Rees-Mogg, Conservative MP for Somerset North East

Born and bred in Somerset, Jacob Rees-Mogg (Con) was first elected an MP in 2010. In Parliament, he serves on the Procedure Committee and the European Scrutiny Committee. He was educated at Eton and Oxford. Full biography on Rees-Mogg’s website.

The challengers

Todd Foreman, Labour's PPC for Somerset North East

Todd Foreman, Labour’s PPC for Somerset North East

Todd Foreman (Lab) first arrived in the UK as a student, and became a British citizen in 2006. A former lawyer, trade unionist, Foreman is a supporter of the living wage. He lives in the village of Pensford with his husband Mark Sautter. Full biography on Foreman’s website.

@todddforeman

Wera Hobhouse, Lib Dem PPC for Somerset North East

Wera Hobhouse, Lib Dem PPC for Somerset North East

Wera Hobhouse (Lib Dem) has been a councillor since 2004. She works as a secondary school teacher of modern languages, and her political interests include education and the environment. Full biography on Hobhouse’s website.

@wera_hobhouse

Ernie Blaber, UKIP's candidate for Somerset North East

Ernie Blaber, UKIP’s candidate for Somerset North East

A resident of Midsomer Norton, Ernie Blaber (UKIP) served in the Royal Marines for twenty two years and spent ten years being self-employed. He has lived in the Bath and North East Somerset area since 1974. More details on the Somerset North East UKIP website.

Katy Boyce is the Green Party candidate.

Katy Boyce is the Green Party candidate.

Katy Boyce is the Green Party candidate. She is a final year student in French and Politics at Bath University, and has been active in politics since 2009. More information on the Bath and North East Somerset Green Party website.

@Katy_Boyce_NES

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