50 marginal constituencies
1 general election
Overview

For the final results in each of 50for15's constituencies, see this post.

Under 100 days to go: unpacking the unpredictability of 2015

Under 100 days to go: unpacking the unpredictability of 2015

With under 100 days to go until the 2015 general election, here are three lessons from our marginals. Small parties will disrupt outcomes Nationally, UKIP are polling at 15% and the Greens around 10%. Labour and the Conservatives are neck and neck with approximately 30% each. Of course, patterns vary widely between constituencies, and will...